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"more than a month and a half after the first case was detected, "

The 'first case' of what exactly though? Nobody knew it's effects, transmissibility, etc. etc..

I actually believe that even if said doctors were not sanctioned, not much would have really changed.

I think the delay to the authoritarian clamp-down would have been roughly the same.

In the West, we have responsible actors but they're neither entirely knowledgable (nobody is) neither do they have the widespread authority to do what China is able to do.

But much worse are places like India, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines ... these to me are the scary spots with high concentrations of people, crude medical practices, not a ton of gear, and no legit central authority to really turn the wheels on the disease.

And since the cat is out of the bag ... it doesn't look good.



Not sure I’d lump Malaysia in with this lot but otherwise I agree. No cases on Indonesia? No chance


No confirmed cases, that is. The thing is, that Indonesia mostly doesn't have the means to detect the disease, or only in specialized labs.

Also, if no "known" cases are present in a specific country, the awareness to check for specific symptoms is probably lower.

That's also the curious thing about why usually the detection rate in a country rises fast in the beginning - when the first infected patient has been found, as by then doctors start to specifically test for the virus.




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