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Off topic: I’ve had success explaining the Monty Hall problem by generalizing it to, say, 10,000 doors, where Monty opens 9,998 of them before allowing you to switch. People seem to intuitively understand that it’s extremely likely that the prize is behind the other door.


You'd think that this would make it evident, but every person I've said this to said "no, you still have a 50-50 chance". I just give up after that.


At that point, the only thing to do is set up 20 playing cards and offer them a prize of $100 for every $10 they wager.




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