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india comes immediately to mind, in, uh ... 8-12 days probably?


India have implemented nation wide lockdown so maybe they'll be ok.

https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-52044058/coronavirus-first...


Isn't the population density there such that a lockdown might not have the same effect it did elsewhere?

Edit: 29th ranked, behind Hong Kong, South Korea, but ahead of most other newsworthy COVID hot spots. I suspect large Indian cities are well above 29th.


India has lots of young people. Young people are not affected as badly as old people.

Also India has no Winter, only Monsoons, wet and dry. It is warn and dry there now.

It seems this virus propagates much better in cold weather.


"It seems this virus propagates much better in cold weather."

This hasn't been confirmed, but I've seen quotes from various professionals saying it is at least likely, and the distribution of cases certainly makes it feel true.


It's nice to hope that, but the virus doesn't seem to be struggling to spread in warm places. Curves in southern California, Louisiana, Australia are all following the standard trajectory.


>Young people are not affected as badly as old people.

we are increasingly coming to the realisation that that's probably wrong.


> It seems this virus propagates much better in cold weather.

Its the first time i hear such claim.



add Latin America too. also Russia (not as densely populated though)


Much of Latin America locked down early and hard. Brazil might be the big exception.




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