So in 21 days the number of deaths will be 4000, while Belgium with a similar po...

detaro · on April 5, 2020

21 days ago Belgium was at 4 deaths, two doublings away from 33. They were at 30-40 total deaths 16 days ago, now they are at ~150 daily, total doubling every ~4 days.

so going from 30 to a few thousand in 21 days is what is happening. Can NC avoid that? Maybe, but I wouldn't bet on it personally.

sharken · on April 16, 2020

Now half of the 21 days have passed and NC have officially registered 117 deaths, so they thankfully won’t reach 4000 deaths in the remaining 10 days.

Data from New York points to Hypertension and Diabetes in the elderly as the main cause of Corona deaths, that is something the US government should focus on, source: https://eu.democratandchronicle.com/story/news/politics/2020...

sharken · on April 6, 2020

It all depends on how well the very old and those with other chronic illnesses will be protected, as they are the ones at risk. The development for NC can be followed at https://www.ncdhhs.gov/divisions/public-health/covid19/covid....

This article does a good job of explaining which age groups are susceptible to Corona virus: https://www.vox.com/2020/4/1/21203198/coronavirus-deaths-us-...

To put things into perspective, in the flu season 2017/18, Germany had 25,100 deaths (source: https://thegermanyeye.com/flu-vaccination-penultimate-wave-w...) while they currently have registered 1,584 deaths due to Corona virus. So yes Germany has probably saved some with the current measures, but should we then close down the society each year to combat the common flu as well ?