> If people want to convince me, they need to lead with their strongest evidence.

Yes and:

I considered myself a Popperian. I used to think discourse and reason could solve all of our problems. Ha.

How do I talk to my creationist (for instance) family members? What can I say that hasn't been said before?

I can't. And even if I could, I don't have the resources or wherewithal to counterbalance the tsunami of noise.

So I adapted.

One consequence is I'm now a predictionist. Whatever that's called. (Utilitarian?) For public discourse, rhetoric, policy I no longer care about base truth, objective reality.

Just make some predictions and stand by them. How does a belief in creationism, young earth, supply side economics, herd immunity, or whatever (for instances) help me navigate the world?

As I aged, I had less drive to refute every utterance about astrology (for instance). Now I no longer feel compelled or obligated to refute any other given cult.

Okay, I think that's my rant. Oh my god, family can push our buttons.