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It will be cheaper until it isn't. Then, it won't be.

Hydrogen electrolysed using zero-marginal-cost power from solar farms producing in excess of demand, on cheapest-conceivable electrolysers, will become cheaper than what depends on extracting, concentrating, and transporting NG.



What you describe still is uneconomical: building out solar farms to exceed demand.


It might one day be a thing, as a matter of load-shifting and providing energy-dense fuels for applications where that's convenient (like airplanes).

But today it's not, and a lot of talk about hydrogen comes from the fossil fuel industry trying to delay adoption of renewables like solar.


Solar farms are necessarily built to exceed instantaneous demand, because they must meet demand when sunshine is reduced.




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