You are misreading. The declaration effectively does NOT quantify or prove any productivity gain. It simply alludes to a possibility by forcing to adapt a new tool which is frequently sold as productivity gain. There is no real consensus or mass scale data except businesses with executives heavily invested in the AI adjacent stocks or prefer to be called visionaries like how SAP or Adobe got lucky by moving into cloud and subscription model purely by accidentally following random hype.
Also in most software dev task, writing code is rarely if ever the bottleneck, it is the thinking, endless scrum bullcrap, management alignment, architects being too obtuse to not sign off on simpler solutions to protect their prestige, not filling empty roles, pushing teams to extreme and then suddenly deciding to throw away and start something brand new while asking why can’t the thrown away solution be adapted for the new thing or simply consulting/contracting firms intentionally prolonging the project to milk maximum billable hours.
I have actually read the entire screenshot in that tweet and to me it read 50% as non technical executive pitched by some AI vendor about how cool their tools are and 50% of clueless people finding non existent nails for their new hammer.
AI has benefits, it may give productivity gains, specially if you are sweat shops churning out customization of same ERP or wordpress theme. Just repeating productivity gain, coding landscape will change, life will be different 500 times daily because the seller of LLM(calling them the AI wholesale is deceptive, they are subset) wants you to do that, does not magically make those true. The whole trend is sickening and it needs to die.
Replacing SWE is fine, but if SWE can be replaced, the justification can be used to replace crucial things like doctors, lawyers, auditors and lots of other professionals which will kill us all.
Also in most software dev task, writing code is rarely if ever the bottleneck, it is the thinking, endless scrum bullcrap, management alignment, architects being too obtuse to not sign off on simpler solutions to protect their prestige, not filling empty roles, pushing teams to extreme and then suddenly deciding to throw away and start something brand new while asking why can’t the thrown away solution be adapted for the new thing or simply consulting/contracting firms intentionally prolonging the project to milk maximum billable hours.
I have actually read the entire screenshot in that tweet and to me it read 50% as non technical executive pitched by some AI vendor about how cool their tools are and 50% of clueless people finding non existent nails for their new hammer.
AI has benefits, it may give productivity gains, specially if you are sweat shops churning out customization of same ERP or wordpress theme. Just repeating productivity gain, coding landscape will change, life will be different 500 times daily because the seller of LLM(calling them the AI wholesale is deceptive, they are subset) wants you to do that, does not magically make those true. The whole trend is sickening and it needs to die.
Replacing SWE is fine, but if SWE can be replaced, the justification can be used to replace crucial things like doctors, lawyers, auditors and lots of other professionals which will kill us all.