I think Gen Z will be a fucked up generation due to technology but we might be getting it wrong for future generations.
There could be a future generation that decides for whatever reason, high technology like AI and smartphones, just isn’t cool. What can you do about people who just walk around with a dumb phone and a pocket size digital camera that takes DSLR quality photos that are way better than a smartphone? Probably nothing.
I think the two drivers of this shift in trends would be:
1. Millennials and Gen Z’s persistent use of social media and high tech gets perceived as an old people thing, instead of shiny new objects mostly young people and kids are using.
2. As the 1980s and 1990s grow more distant, the time period becomes increasingly romanticized, and a source for lifestyle inspiration, 1999 was peak human civilization.
The 90s, especially the latter years, are durably regarded as a high point by multiple generations who lived through them at multiple ages. My wife’s grandfather was an old man during that time and even said this.
It wasn’t that everything was great. It was that there was a palpable sense, supported by a great deal of evidence, that things were getting better.
This did also include things like race relations and LGBTQ acceptance. The latter was worse then but visibly improving. The former has become worse since then.
The optimism ended on 9/11. I firmly believe that the terrorists won. They destroyed the culture of the west on that day and it has never recovered. It was our reaction that did it, not the planes, but I think that was the plan.
This is already happening. I keep seeing articles and videos about Gen Z opting for dumb phones and getting into 90s or early 00s era tech.
It just needs to reach enough of a tipping point for companies to get behind it, and hopefully not be a fad that just burns out. This part is all very unlikely. The mainstream will have to get really bad.
To buy new "90s" stuff, it's not as good as what we had in the actual 90s. I watched something on new cassette players (walkman style) that companies are building. They are a lot bigger and bulkier than peak walkman, which was hardly larger than the tape. The tools and tech to make those small walkmans just doesn't exist anymore, and the market isn't large enough to invest in it.
When Apple's click wheel patent expires, I'm sure people would love to see some high quality 3rd party iPods that are easily repairable and have more modern features out of the box. There is still a community of people keeping the old ones going.
The way things are driving right now, it's going to be very hard to get a flip phone soon. My HSA plan just announced that if we don't download their app before fall they're going to lock us out of our accounts. That seems wrong in so many ways. In their FAQ there is a question about a user's phone not supporting their app, and the answer provided is to get a new phone that does. The HSA is through my employer, I can't just change, even though I'd like to. Earlier this year, before my grandma died, some company was telling my mom that my grandma needed an email address to use their service. She was 104 and months away from death, and they wanted her to get her first email account. After loudly refusing, they found away around it, but that's where we're at as a society. Can we even go back?
I think the ones using only "dumbphones" are also the people who don't like companies influencing them. Also the market is already saturated. I get good "dumbphones" for less than 10€. An adult can basically get a new phone everyday.
It's really bad, not more people will be using them. My phone has a browser with a cursor(!), and the equivalents of Google Maps and Spotify, that also (would) work offline. But I can't use them because the servers are down.
I always wonder what a smartphone really brings to a table besides a touch screen, better camera and faster chips. In terms of UX it seams worse.
I haven’t used a flip phones since 2007. Is there a model I can look up to see what the UX is like today, if it’s not just Android?
From the flip phones of old, the iPhone (first gen) was a massive upgrade in terms of UX, imo. A lot of people avoided smart phones, because they thought they’d be too hard to use, but I think they were actually much easier for the basics. That may be less true today than it once was, as they’ve added a lot of complexity over the last 18 years.
Oh, I was actually talking about a phone from that era, which is my daily driver. Most functionality can be reached by ~3 button presses, which is from the finger movement equivalent to a single swipe. Also I can type and call without looking.
My perspective is that there aren't really any new apps, just new companies in place of the old apps, so that my phone doesn't really have less features besides performance due to Moore's law.
To me an Apple Watch with cellular would be the perfect "phone" if Apple didn't make it so dependent on also having an iPhone. It is a device that lets you do all the important stuff of a phone but without the temptation to doom scroll endlessly through social media. My only complaints are that you can't run CarPlay off of it and the battery life only lasts a day or so.
With AI, you could get probably get useful information off your watch comparable to browsing the web.
And the watch doesn't have a camera, but once you have a small digital camera that fits in your pocket or purse you will quickly find smartphone cameras are shit anyway. They actually have been for years due to excessive computational photography.
There could be a future generation that decides for whatever reason, high technology like AI and smartphones, just isn’t cool. What can you do about people who just walk around with a dumb phone and a pocket size digital camera that takes DSLR quality photos that are way better than a smartphone? Probably nothing.
I think the two drivers of this shift in trends would be:
1. Millennials and Gen Z’s persistent use of social media and high tech gets perceived as an old people thing, instead of shiny new objects mostly young people and kids are using.
2. As the 1980s and 1990s grow more distant, the time period becomes increasingly romanticized, and a source for lifestyle inspiration, 1999 was peak human civilization.