There is a tiny little bit of irony in this being posted on a ycombinator site. More to the point though, I think it’s a pretty fantastic synthesis, I do enjoy the forward thinking.
One weak point here is that US is intrinsically interested in fossil fuels, because it has a lot of them and it's natural to use them as a control tool. US is a major fossil energy exporter. There's nothing pro-Russian in any US force in pushing fossil fuels.
This contains a level of bias not befitting HN: A political article that presumes a governance of ‘baddies’ vs ‘goodies’. His analysis is not necessarily wrong, it’s only 50% complete. It wouldn’t be hard for him to complete it; fundamentally his ‘goodies’ operate in the same fashion as his ‘baddies’ (he just likes them more).