I'm not a fan of the betting side of prediction markets like Kalshi or Polymarket, but I do find the "scientific" side of them interesting.
Especially seeing if "wisdom of the crowd" or "superforecaster" theories are validated and the possibility of using these market probabilities as inputs in broader strategies.
Especially seeing if "wisdom of the crowd" or "superforecaster" theories are validated and the possibility of using these market probabilities as inputs in broader strategies.