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I think you articulated perfectly why it's a bubble and why execs are so eager to push it everywhere. It's so alluring, it constantly feels like we're on the verge of something great. No wonder so many people have their brains fried by it.




we're 10 months into agentic coding. Claude code came out in march. I dont understand how you are so unimaginative to think what this might look like in 5 years even with slow progress.

It might be genuinely useful in 5 years, my issue is how it's being marketed now. We're 6 months into "AI will be writing 90% of code in three months" among other ridiculous statements.

Agreed. It is very similar to gambling in how it tricks the human mind. I am sure some of this AI technology will prove yo be useful but the breakthrough has been just around the corner since soon after ChatGPT was released.

I don't mean to be inflammatory but I am not at all convinced that LLMs will be useful for software development in 5 years!

I think LLMs are very well marketed but I don't think they're very good at writing code and I don't think they've gotten better at it!


I sort of agree. If anything I feel like they've gotten a bit worse, but the advances in the tooling around them (eg claude code) has masked that slightly.

I think they are useful as an augmentation, but largely valueless for directly outputting code. Who knows if that will change. It's still made me more productive as a dev despite not oneshotting entire files. It's just not industry-changing, at least yet.




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